Showing posts with label Biosecurity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Biosecurity. Show all posts

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Google searches can predict the flu!!

Holy COW! I'm probably the last person in public health to know this, but the rate of google searches for "flu" closely matches the actual incidence of flu! I didn't read the journal article (yet) but you have GOT to look at this--it's amazing. The implications are huge. Google search as a surveillance tool is actually a really great idea!

"Google Flu Trends estimates flu activity for a number of countries by using aggregated search query data. The system provides users and public health officials with near real-time estimates of flu activity in their region. Traditional surveillance reports come directly from doctors and other health service professionals, sometimes with a delay of up to 1-2 weeks."



Here's the URL (or click on the heading)

http://www.google.org/flutrends/about/how.html

Thursday, January 13, 2011

News Flash: Climate Change will cause Disease

So, the drum beat of disease as a national security threat continues. Nothing new in this piece in the Kansas City press (click on title), but I have Laurie Garrett's book, "Betrayal of Trust" here on my desk in line to be read. It will be interesting to see if this crescendos -- issues seem to wax and wane.

Sunday, May 3, 2009

USG, DoD, DoS and USAID response to the H1N1 flu

Here's the U.S. Pandemic Flu page: http://www.pandemicflu.gov/.

Interesting to note that Secretary Clinton, in a preamble to her briefing to Congress, acknowledged the DoS' role in the H1N1 outbreak:http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2009a/04/122462.htm .

And, USAID has let lose with $5M: http://www.usaid.gov/press/releases/2009/pr090428.html

Also, DoD has a "Pandemic Influenza Watchboard" available on the web: http://fhp.osd.mil/aiWatchboard/. One of the issues for DoD is personnel managment. Pandemic influenzas could reduce the 'readiness' of military personnel to do their jobs. Obviously this is not currently the issue, but the Military Health System has been diligently preparing rules, guidelines and practices. I wonder if the other agencies have done the same?

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Swine Flu and Harley Feldbaum's report on US Global Health and National Security Policy

I am plugging away through the recently posted reports on the CSIS Global Health Policy Center page (see link on right hand bar). The first one up (picked because I am a long-time fan of the author and because of it's attractive slimness) by Harley Feldbaum, Associate Director of the Johns Hopkins SAIS Global Health and Foreign Policy Initiative, is a report on the U.S. policies addressing global health threats. Take the swine flu as a perfect example of what could be considered a "national security" threat.

Harley's report is really interesting though covers a tremendous amount of ground in a very brief period. His basic premise is:

1. That U.S. policymaking is complicated by dependence on health conditions in other countries, and a lack of understanding both domestically and abroad about health issues and their implications;

2. That the U.S. response to infectious disease/bioterrorism has over emphasized defensive medical countermeasures and treatment and under-invested in prevention, strengthening of public health systems and surveillance;

3. That improvements would be an increase in focus on global surveillance and response, attention to the WHO's International Health Regulations, and "putting a high priority on meeting the health needs of developing countries".

Wow. I am especially stunned by the final sentence. What Harley means is not really what the sentence says plucked out of the report like I have done here. Put in context, the essence of the argument is that instead of focusing on specific diseases which threaten the U.S., we would do better to examine the health needs of other countries and identify common ground. In the end making other countries more able to detect and deter disease will only help us. He uses Indonesia as an example--the Indonesian government will no longer participate in the WHO program for bird flu arguing that the U.S.'s program of developing drugs from virus samples donated by poor nations, which then are made available only to wealthy western nations is inequitable.

In theory I'd like to agree that we should place a high priority on meeting the health needs of developing countries. But I'm not sure I do.

For example, at the recent CSIS launch of their commission, there was discussion about chronic disease being one of the biggest looming health threats. Should we focus on assisting other countries with chronic diseases? If not, why not? Should we focus on tropical diseases that are not endemic to the U.S.? Why not? As Harley's report says: "Other major global health problems that do not directly threaten the U.S. population or strategic interests, including negelected tropical diseases, weak health systems, and maternal health, do not share the political spotlight and thus have received little attention or funding." (pg. 11) But, why is that bad? Or, why is that good? It's my tax money, after all. I can make arguments both ways on this sentence.

I think my issue here is that the report is too brief and covers a vast amount of territory. While it's attractive to make uncomplicated arguments, and I admittedly picked his report because it was thin, I am aware of the sweeping language and all the dangers that can attend such language.

The report is really well worth a read, and it touches on the most pressing contemporary problems relating to biosecurity. These are THE problems of today, elegantly presented.